Basically, over the course of a season, which spots in the lineup are most crucial to winning in terms of OBP? Which spot’s OBP has the biggest effect on a team’s 162-game success? Here’s a section from his study: One method, as written by Sky Kalkman in Beyond the Box Score, is the importance of avoiding outs for each player in the lineup. A higher correlation, in non-statistical terms, means that a team that has a higher OBP or SLG will most likely have more wins over the course of a season than a team that just has a higher BA.īack to the batting order – studies have striven to find many different tidbits about lineups that would lead to optimization. Both of these stats, based on regression modeling, have much higher correlations to runs scored than BA (batting average), which is conventionally the main statistic used to measure the quality of a hitter – once again, an archaic tradition that the game of baseball has unfortunately been resistant to changing. Have you considered that this isn’t actually the optimal lineup to win more baseball games (score as many runs as possible)? Many sabermetric studies have looked to find the truly optimal batting order, based mostly on the two most important hitting stats: OBP (on-base percentage) and SLG (slugging percentage). Unfortunately, the conventional batting order is nothing but tradition, and no one ever seems to question this idea that’s been around for more than a century. 6th-8th: Your remaining position players, in descending order of quality.5th: Complete the “heart” of the order a good power hitter.4th: Cleanup man your best power hitter.2nd: Guy who can drop a bunt or draw a walk.
The managers of MLB seem to have it down to an art.
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